Recent polls ahead of the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, with the most recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap showing 8.5%, 7%, and 8% respectively. This range has held steady in the final weeks, reflecting the party's consistent performance as junior partner in the outgoing CDU-led coalition and limited movement in voter preferences amid AfD dominance. The 5% electoral threshold adds sensitivity, yet SPD figures remain comfortably above it while trailing the Left and Greens in most readings. Trader consensus in the 7-9% band aligns with these late-campaign aggregates and the absence of disruptive events shifting the party's trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7-9% 55%
5-7% 34%
9%+ 13.3%
<5% 1.4%
$131,728 KL.
$131,728 KL.
<5%
1%
5-7%
34%
7-9%
55%
9%+
13%
7-9% 55%
5-7% 34%
9%+ 13.3%
<5% 1.4%
$131,728 KL.
$131,728 KL.
<5%
1%
5-7%
34%
7-9%
55%
9%+
13%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, with the most recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap showing 8.5%, 7%, and 8% respectively. This range has held steady in the final weeks, reflecting the party's consistent performance as junior partner in the outgoing CDU-led coalition and limited movement in voter preferences amid AfD dominance. The 5% electoral threshold adds sensitivity, yet SPD figures remain comfortably above it while trailing the Left and Greens in most readings. Trader consensus in the 7-9% band aligns with these late-campaign aggregates and the absence of disruptive events shifting the party's trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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