**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% in the September 6, 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, supporting the 64.5% implied probability for over 12%.** Multiple institutes, including INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix (July–August 2026 surveys of 1,000–2,600 respondents), show the party at 13–14%, up modestly from its 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning reflects stable support in a fragmented field where the AfD leads at ~42% and the CDU trails at ~23%. Eva von Angern’s selection as lead candidate and reported membership growth for Die Linke have provided organizational momentum without major negative developments disrupting its trajectory. The five-percent electoral threshold and typical polling margins keep outcomes close to the line, but consistent readings above 12% have anchored trader assessments ahead of the vote. Late campaign shifts or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still influence the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOver
65% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
Over
65% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% in the September 6, 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, supporting the 64.5% implied probability for over 12%.** Multiple institutes, including INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix (July–August 2026 surveys of 1,000–2,600 respondents), show the party at 13–14%, up modestly from its 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning reflects stable support in a fragmented field where the AfD leads at ~42% and the CDU trails at ~23%.
Eva von Angern’s selection as lead candidate and reported membership growth for Die Linke have provided organizational momentum without major negative developments disrupting its trajectory. The five-percent electoral threshold and typical polling margins keep outcomes close to the line, but consistent readings above 12% have anchored trader assessments ahead of the vote. Late campaign shifts or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still influence the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,400Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% in the September 6, 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, supporting the 64.5% implied probability for over 12%.** Multiple institutes, including INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix (July–August 2026 surveys of 1,000–2,600 respondents), show the party at 13–14%, up modestly from its 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning reflects stable support in a fragmented field where the AfD leads at ~42% and the CDU trails at ~23%.
Eva von Angern’s selection as lead candidate and reported membership growth for Die Linke have provided organizational momentum without major negative developments disrupting its trajectory. The five-percent electoral threshold and typical polling margins keep outcomes close to the line, but consistent readings above 12% have anchored trader assessments ahead of the vote. Late campaign shifts or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still influence the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 12% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$5,400Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 13% in the September 6, 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, supporting the 64.5% implied probability for over 12%.** Multiple institutes, including INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix (July–August 2026 surveys of 1,000–2,600 respondents), show the party at 13–14%, up modestly from its 11.0% result in 2021. This positioning reflects stable support in a fragmented field where the AfD leads at ~42% and the CDU trails at ~23%. Eva von Angern’s selection as lead candidate and reported membership growth for Die Linke have provided organizational momentum without major negative developments disrupting its trajectory. The five-percent electoral threshold and typical polling margins keep outcomes close to the line, but consistent readings above 12% have anchored trader assessments ahead of the vote. Late campaign shifts or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still influence the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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