Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the CDU holding steady near 22-23 percent, placing the party well behind the AfD at 41-43 percent after sharp losses from its 37.1 percent result in 2021. Trader pricing reflects this stability amid consistent survey data from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, with roughly 26 percent of voters still undecided. Incumbent Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze’s relatively short tenure since early 2026 has limited any personal bonus, while broader dissatisfaction with economic conditions and federal politics has sustained AfD gains without further eroding CDU support in the final weeks. High uncertainty around smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold and potential last-minute shifts among undecided voters keep the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges closely matched, with separation likely hinging on actual turnout and final preference crystallization on election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
<20% 13%
26%+ 10%
$48,137 KL.
$48,137 KL.
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
10%
20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
<20% 13%
26%+ 10%
$48,137 KL.
$48,137 KL.
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the CDU holding steady near 22-23 percent, placing the party well behind the AfD at 41-43 percent after sharp losses from its 37.1 percent result in 2021. Trader pricing reflects this stability amid consistent survey data from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap, with roughly 26 percent of voters still undecided. Incumbent Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze’s relatively short tenure since early 2026 has limited any personal bonus, while broader dissatisfaction with economic conditions and federal politics has sustained AfD gains without further eroding CDU support in the final weeks. High uncertainty around smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold and potential last-minute shifts among undecided voters keep the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges closely matched, with separation likely hinging on actual turnout and final preference crystallization on election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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