United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the Kremlin's tight control over candidate registration, ballot access, and single-member districts, including pressure on rivals like the Communist Party to limit competition and the disqualification of parties such as Yabloko. President Vladimir Putin's public alignment with the party at its June congress, combined with high-profile candidate placements and the mixed electoral system's advantages for incumbents, reinforces this position ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Recent polls indicate some erosion in support amid war-related discontent, yet the party's structural dominance and historical results sustain trader consensus near certainty. Shifts could still arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict or unexpected administrative changes, though these remain low-probability factors given the managed process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 99.0%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
Những Người Mới (NL) <1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
$3,393,277 KL.
$3,393,277 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
99%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
<1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 99.0%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
Những Người Mới (NL) <1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
$3,393,277 KL.
$3,393,277 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
$897,163 KL.
99%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
$196,988 KL.
1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
$159,791 KL.
<1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
$225,232 KL.
<1%
Yabloko
$61,709 KL.
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
$742,252 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 KL.
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
$604,433 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the Kremlin's tight control over candidate registration, ballot access, and single-member districts, including pressure on rivals like the Communist Party to limit competition and the disqualification of parties such as Yabloko. President Vladimir Putin's public alignment with the party at its June congress, combined with high-profile candidate placements and the mixed electoral system's advantages for incumbents, reinforces this position ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Recent polls indicate some erosion in support amid war-related discontent, yet the party's structural dominance and historical results sustain trader consensus near certainty. Shifts could still arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict or unexpected administrative changes, though these remain low-probability factors given the managed process.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,393,277Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the Kremlin's tight control over candidate registration, ballot access, and single-member districts, including pressure on rivals like the Communist Party to limit competition and the disqualification of parties such as Yabloko. President Vladimir Putin's public alignment with the party at its June congress, combined with high-profile candidate placements and the mixed electoral system's advantages for incumbents, reinforces this position ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Recent polls indicate some erosion in support amid war-related discontent, yet the party's structural dominance and historical results sustain trader consensus near certainty. Shifts could still arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict or unexpected administrative changes, though these remain low-probability factors given the managed process.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$3,393,277Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the Kremlin's tight control over candidate registration, ballot access, and single-member districts, including pressure on rivals like the Communist Party to limit competition and the disqualification of parties such as Yabloko. President Vladimir Putin's public alignment with the party at its June congress, combined with high-profile candidate placements and the mixed electoral system's advantages for incumbents, reinforces this position ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Recent polls indicate some erosion in support amid war-related discontent, yet the party's structural dominance and historical results sustain trader consensus near certainty. Shifts could still arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict or unexpected administrative changes, though these remain low-probability factors given the managed process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
51%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
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