**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRafael Motta 36.1%
Zenaide Maia 25%
Styvenson Valentim 20.1%
Samanda de Lula 20%
$16,448 KL.
$16,448 KL.
Rafael Motta
36%
Zenaide Maia
25%
Styvenson Valentim
20%
Samanda de Lula
20%
Coronel Hélio
2%
Rosália Fernandes
2%
Tércio Tinôco
1%
Luciana Mandu
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Sonia Godeiro
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Rafael Motta 36.1%
Zenaide Maia 25%
Styvenson Valentim 20.1%
Samanda de Lula 20%
$16,448 KL.
$16,448 KL.
Rafael Motta
36%
Zenaide Maia
25%
Styvenson Valentim
20%
Samanda de Lula
20%
Coronel Hélio
2%
Rosália Fernandes
2%
Tércio Tinôco
1%
Luciana Mandu
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Sonia Godeiro
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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