Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability, capitalizing on its massive scale, summer release momentum, and the Academy’s recent embrace of his blockbuster prestige following Oppenheimer. The field remains tightly bunched behind him, with Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” at 19.5% reflecting anticipation for its December arrival and franchise payoff, while McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Eisenberg’s “The Debut” sit near even odds amid strong early reviews and guild-friendly narratives. Late-year releases, festival premieres, and precursor awards will likely reshape positioning before nominations lock in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan 60%
Denis Villeneuve 20%
Martin McDonagh 6.5%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu 6%
$12,805 KL.
$12,805 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Christopher Nolan
60%
Denis Villeneuve
20%
Martin McDonagh
7%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
6%
Jesse Eisenberg
5%
Aaron Sorkin
5%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
3%
Olivia Wilde
1%
Steven Spielberg
1%
Lance Oppenheim
1%
Peter Farrelly
1%
David O. Russell
1%
Bassam Tariq
<1%
Jordan Firstman
<1%
Christopher Nolan 60%
Denis Villeneuve 20%
Martin McDonagh 6.5%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu 6%
$12,805 KL.
$12,805 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Christopher Nolan
$8,013 KL.
60%
Denis Villeneuve
$776 KL.
20%
Martin McDonagh
$278 KL.
7%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
$1,494 KL.
6%
Jesse Eisenberg
$198 KL.
5%
Aaron Sorkin
$154 KL.
5%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
$192 KL.
3%
Olivia Wilde
$215 KL.
1%
Steven Spielberg
$208 KL.
1%
Lance Oppenheim
$673 KL.
1%
Peter Farrelly
$158 KL.
1%
David O. Russell
$139 KL.
1%
Bassam Tariq
$158 KL.
<1%
Jordan Firstman
$148 KL.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability, capitalizing on its massive scale, summer release momentum, and the Academy’s recent embrace of his blockbuster prestige following Oppenheimer. The field remains tightly bunched behind him, with Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” at 19.5% reflecting anticipation for its December arrival and franchise payoff, while McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Eisenberg’s “The Debut” sit near even odds amid strong early reviews and guild-friendly narratives. Late-year releases, festival premieres, and precursor awards will likely reshape positioning before nominations lock in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,805Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability, capitalizing on its massive scale, summer release momentum, and the Academy’s recent embrace of his blockbuster prestige following Oppenheimer. The field remains tightly bunched behind him, with Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” at 19.5% reflecting anticipation for its December arrival and franchise payoff, while McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Eisenberg’s “The Debut” sit near even odds amid strong early reviews and guild-friendly narratives. Late-year releases, festival premieres, and precursor awards will likely reshape positioning before nominations lock in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$12,805Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability, capitalizing on its massive scale, summer release momentum, and the Academy’s recent embrace of his blockbuster prestige following Oppenheimer. The field remains tightly bunched behind him, with Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” at 19.5% reflecting anticipation for its December arrival and franchise payoff, while McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” Iñárritu’s “Digger,” and Eisenberg’s “The Debut” sit near even odds amid strong early reviews and guild-friendly narratives. Late-year releases, festival premieres, and precursor awards will likely reshape positioning before nominations lock in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp