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Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan 59%

Rafael Grossi 32%

Macky Sall 3.9%

Michelle Bachelet 2.5%

Polymarket

$168,173 KL.

Rebeca Grynspan 59%

Rafael Grossi 32%

Macky Sall 3.9%

Michelle Bachelet 2.5%

Polymarket

$168,173 KL.

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$12,813 KL.

59%

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$23,973 KL.

32%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$119,986 KL.

4%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$11,402 KL.

2%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading trader consensus at 58.5% amid the ongoing 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection process, driven by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll in July 2026 and her extensive UN system experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and former UNDP Associate Administrator. The informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American and Caribbean candidate, combined with perceptions of continuity under the current administration, bolster her position ahead of the recommendation phase. Rafael Grossi follows at 31% as the main alternative, backed by his IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail due to limited institutional endorsements and reported opposition. The Security Council’s upcoming straw polls and final recommendation to the General Assembly remain key upcoming steps.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$168,173
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading trader consensus at 58.5% amid the ongoing 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection process, driven by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll in July 2026 and her extensive UN system experience as UNCTAD Secretary-General and former UNDP Associate Administrator. The informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American and Caribbean candidate, combined with perceptions of continuity under the current administration, bolster her position ahead of the recommendation phase. Rafael Grossi follows at 31% as the main alternative, backed by his IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail due to limited institutional endorsements and reported opposition. The Security Council’s upcoming straw polls and final recommendation to the General Assembly remain key upcoming steps.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$168,173
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 4 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Rebeca Grynspan" ở mức 59%, tiếp theo là "Rafael Grossi" ở mức 32%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 59¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 59% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" đã tạo $168.2K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 21, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations," duyệt 4 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" là "Rebeca Grynspan" ở mức 59%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 59% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Rafael Grossi" ở mức 32%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.