Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports for safety, with multiple multi-hour suspensions recorded during large-scale attacks in June 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the pattern of these incidents amid the broader conflict, alongside July 2026 airspace measures that lowered altitudes and banned transit flights over the area through at least late August. Recent NOTAMs from Rosaviatsiya and Defense Ministry intercepts of hundreds of drones underscore the direct link between strike frequency and closures. Continued escalation in long-range drone activity or shifts in Russian air defense posture could alter the likelihood of further suspensions by key resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
August 31
74%
September 15
79%
September 30
88%
$347 KL.
August 31
74%
September 15
79%
September 30
88%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports for safety, with multiple multi-hour suspensions recorded during large-scale attacks in June 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the pattern of these incidents amid the broader conflict, alongside July 2026 airspace measures that lowered altitudes and banned transit flights over the area through at least late August. Recent NOTAMs from Rosaviatsiya and Defense Ministry intercepts of hundreds of drones underscore the direct link between strike frequency and closures. Continued escalation in long-range drone activity or shifts in Russian air defense posture could alter the likelihood of further suspensions by key resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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