**Market-implied odds near 50% for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher on September 21 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen’s minimum temperature.** Recent model runs show divergence driven by potential thunderstorm activity and a possible weak frontal boundary, which could enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover, rainfall, and reduced urban heat retention. Historical September climatology features average lows near 24–26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon remnants, with sea breezes from the South China Sea moderating extremes. Current guidance indicates daytime highs around 30–34°C but varying overnight drops depending on precipitation timing and wind shifts. Traders are monitoring updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official briefings for clearer signals on boundary-layer cooling ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 96%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
100%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
96%
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 96%
25°C 40%
27°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
40%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
40%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
8%
30°C
$0 KL.
39%
31°C
$0 KL.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds near 50% for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher on September 21 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen’s minimum temperature.** Recent model runs show divergence driven by potential thunderstorm activity and a possible weak frontal boundary, which could enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover, rainfall, and reduced urban heat retention. Historical September climatology features average lows near 24–26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon remnants, with sea breezes from the South China Sea moderating extremes. Current guidance indicates daytime highs around 30–34°C but varying overnight drops depending on precipitation timing and wind shifts. Traders are monitoring updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official briefings for clearer signals on boundary-layer cooling ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds near 50% for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher on September 21 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen’s minimum temperature.** Recent model runs show divergence driven by potential thunderstorm activity and a possible weak frontal boundary, which could enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover, rainfall, and reduced urban heat retention. Historical September climatology features average lows near 24–26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon remnants, with sea breezes from the South China Sea moderating extremes. Current guidance indicates daytime highs around 30–34°C but varying overnight drops depending on precipitation timing and wind shifts. Traders are monitoring updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official briefings for clearer signals on boundary-layer cooling ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds near 50% for both 22°C or below and 32°C or higher on September 21 reflect substantial forecast uncertainty in Shenzhen’s minimum temperature.** Recent model runs show divergence driven by potential thunderstorm activity and a possible weak frontal boundary, which could enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover, rainfall, and reduced urban heat retention. Historical September climatology features average lows near 24–26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon remnants, with sea breezes from the South China Sea moderating extremes. Current guidance indicates daytime highs around 30–34°C but varying overnight drops depending on precipitation timing and wind shifts. Traders are monitoring updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official briefings for clearer signals on boundary-layer cooling ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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