Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$28 KL.
1%
21°C
$18 KL.
1%
22°C
$7 KL.
3%
23°C
$0 KL.
7%
24°C
$25 KL.
27%
25°C
$16 KL.
36%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
10%
28°C
$28 KL.
2%
29°C
$28 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$32 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$182Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$182Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp