Recent forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Qingdao on September 21, with consensus lows ranging 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate winds shifting from northerly to southerly, and typical coastal moderation. This narrow range around historical September averages sustains balanced trader sentiment between the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher binaries, as small variations in overnight cooling, humidity, or wind timing could shift the exact low. Model agreement remains high but leaves room for revision ahead of the event, with no major atmospheric drivers like strong fronts or typhoon influences altering the outlook in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 95%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
95%
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 95%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C for Qingdao on September 21, with consensus lows ranging 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate winds shifting from northerly to southerly, and typical coastal moderation. This narrow range around historical September averages sustains balanced trader sentiment between the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher binaries, as small variations in overnight cooling, humidity, or wind timing could shift the exact low. Model agreement remains high but leaves room for revision ahead of the event, with no major atmospheric drivers like strong fronts or typhoon influences altering the outlook in the past week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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