**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C low for London on September 6, reflecting Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus for an overnight minimum near that threshold under mild southerly flow and limited radiational cooling.** Forecasts indicate daytime highs reaching 25–27°C with partly cloudy skies, transitioning to clearer conditions overnight that support a low around 15°C—above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 12°C but consistent with current warm advection and dew points near 13–14°C. Official resolution typically draws from Heathrow or similar Met Office stations, where model runs show minimal spread for sub-14°C outcomes given the stable high-pressure influence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharper wind shift allowing greater surface cooling than ensemble guidance projects, though current observations and short-range models limit that probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,201 KL.
$9,201 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,201 KL.
$9,201 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$55 KL.
<1%
11°C
$65 KL.
<1%
12°C
$240 KL.
<1%
13°C
$426 KL.
<1%
14°C
$2,988 KL.
<1%
15°C
$2,546 KL.
100%
16°C
$2,522 KL.
<1%
17°C
$152 KL.
<1%
18°C
$65 KL.
<1%
19°C
$65 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$75 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C low for London on September 6, reflecting Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus for an overnight minimum near that threshold under mild southerly flow and limited radiational cooling.**
Forecasts indicate daytime highs reaching 25–27°C with partly cloudy skies, transitioning to clearer conditions overnight that support a low around 15°C—above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 12°C but consistent with current warm advection and dew points near 13–14°C. Official resolution typically draws from Heathrow or similar Met Office stations, where model runs show minimal spread for sub-14°C outcomes given the stable high-pressure influence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharper wind shift allowing greater surface cooling than ensemble guidance projects, though current observations and short-range models limit that probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C low for London on September 6, reflecting Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus for an overnight minimum near that threshold under mild southerly flow and limited radiational cooling.**
Forecasts indicate daytime highs reaching 25–27°C with partly cloudy skies, transitioning to clearer conditions overnight that support a low around 15°C—above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 12°C but consistent with current warm advection and dew points near 13–14°C. Official resolution typically draws from Heathrow or similar Met Office stations, where model runs show minimal spread for sub-14°C outcomes given the stable high-pressure influence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharper wind shift allowing greater surface cooling than ensemble guidance projects, though current observations and short-range models limit that probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C low for London on September 6, reflecting Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus for an overnight minimum near that threshold under mild southerly flow and limited radiational cooling.** Forecasts indicate daytime highs reaching 25–27°C with partly cloudy skies, transitioning to clearer conditions overnight that support a low around 15°C—above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 12°C but consistent with current warm advection and dew points near 13–14°C. Official resolution typically draws from Heathrow or similar Met Office stations, where model runs show minimal spread for sub-14°C outcomes given the stable high-pressure influence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear-sky intensification or a sharper wind shift allowing greater surface cooling than ensemble guidance projects, though current observations and short-range models limit that probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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