Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 8 points to partly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the low-to-mid 80s across much of the Los Angeles basin, driven by moderate onshore flow and a weak marine layer that limits strong daytime heating while preventing extreme warmth. Short-range forecasts show modest warming from early-September readings near 78°F at LAX, with 20% afternoon shower chances tied to residual moisture rather than strong instability. Historical September 8 averages hover near 76.5°F, but recent model runs exhibit a narrow spread centered on 82–86°F that explains the market’s balanced 25% probabilities across the 78–87°F bins and minimal odds on outliers. Updated NHC and local guidance on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will refine the final maximum ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 8?
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
73°F or below
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
73°F or below
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 8 points to partly cloudy conditions with highs likely in the low-to-mid 80s across much of the Los Angeles basin, driven by moderate onshore flow and a weak marine layer that limits strong daytime heating while preventing extreme warmth. Short-range forecasts show modest warming from early-September readings near 78°F at LAX, with 20% afternoon shower chances tied to residual moisture rather than strong instability. Historical September 8 averages hover near 76.5°F, but recent model runs exhibit a narrow spread centered on 82–86°F that explains the market’s balanced 25% probabilities across the 78–87°F bins and minimal odds on outliers. Updated NHC and local guidance on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will refine the final maximum ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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