Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Istanbul on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that moderate radiational cooling overnight. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees within the typical uncertainty range of global models. Historical September lows average 16–17°C, so current atmospheric conditions favor values clustered around the middle outcomes, with new model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 19?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
14°C
$0 KL.
40%
15°C
$0 KL.
40%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
40%
18°C
$0 KL.
40%
19°C
$0 KL.
40%
20°C
$0 KL.
40%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Istanbul on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that moderate radiational cooling overnight. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees within the typical uncertainty range of global models. Historical September lows average 16–17°C, so current atmospheric conditions favor values clustered around the middle outcomes, with new model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Istanbul on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that moderate radiational cooling overnight. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees within the typical uncertainty range of global models. Historical September lows average 16–17°C, so current atmospheric conditions favor values clustered around the middle outcomes, with new model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Istanbul on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and light northeasterly winds that moderate radiational cooling overnight. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees within the typical uncertainty range of global models. Historical September lows average 16–17°C, so current atmospheric conditions favor values clustered around the middle outcomes, with new model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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