**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 20, supported by an anticyclone aloft delivering generally fine, dry conditions with light east to northeast winds.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out around 26–27°C after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with late-September climatology under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight. Multiple sources, including detailed hourly projections, show temperatures holding above 25°C with only isolated later showers possible, limiting any sharp cooling. This scientific consensus on persistent warmth under subtropical ridging underpins the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low, while lower outcomes like 26°C or below remain possible only if models shift or localized effects intensify. Traders are pricing in limited upside deviation given the short time to resolution and stable steering pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 74%
28°C 16%
26°C 10%
25°C 6%
MỚI
$12,632 KL.
MỚI
$12,632 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
74%
28°C
16%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 74%
28°C 16%
26°C 10%
25°C 6%
MỚI
$12,632 KL.
MỚI
$12,632 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$41 KL.
<1%
23°C
$41 KL.
<1%
24°C
$41 KL.
<1%
25°C
$734 KL.
6%
26°C
$3,570 KL.
10%
27°C
$4,845 KL.
74%
28°C
$2,368 KL.
16%
29°C
$41 KL.
<1%
30°C
$877 KL.
<1%
31°C
$37 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$37 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 20, supported by an anticyclone aloft delivering generally fine, dry conditions with light east to northeast winds.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out around 26–27°C after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with late-September climatology under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight. Multiple sources, including detailed hourly projections, show temperatures holding above 25°C with only isolated later showers possible, limiting any sharp cooling. This scientific consensus on persistent warmth under subtropical ridging underpins the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low, while lower outcomes like 26°C or below remain possible only if models shift or localized effects intensify. Traders are pricing in limited upside deviation given the short time to resolution and stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,632Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 20, supported by an anticyclone aloft delivering generally fine, dry conditions with light east to northeast winds.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out around 26–27°C after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with late-September climatology under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight. Multiple sources, including detailed hourly projections, show temperatures holding above 25°C with only isolated later showers possible, limiting any sharp cooling. This scientific consensus on persistent warmth under subtropical ridging underpins the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low, while lower outcomes like 26°C or below remain possible only if models shift or localized effects intensify. Traders are pricing in limited upside deviation given the short time to resolution and stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$12,632Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 20, supported by an anticyclone aloft delivering generally fine, dry conditions with light east to northeast winds.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out around 26–27°C after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with late-September climatology under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover or precipitation overnight. Multiple sources, including detailed hourly projections, show temperatures holding above 25°C with only isolated later showers possible, limiting any sharp cooling. This scientific consensus on persistent warmth under subtropical ridging underpins the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low, while lower outcomes like 26°C or below remain possible only if models shift or localized effects intensify. Traders are pricing in limited upside deviation given the short time to resolution and stable steering pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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