Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts projecting a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 17. This aligns with the market’s leading 82–83 °F bucket (48 % implied probability) and supports the 80–81 °F range, while the 90 °F+ outcome reflects uncertainty over daytime heat carryover. A prolonged dry spell and absent cold fronts have kept temperatures well above the 69.6 °F climatological average low, though subtle model consensus on light winds and partial clearing overnight limits downside risk to the 71 °F-or-below tier. Updated NWS guidance and early-morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Dallas on September 17?
90°F or higher 70%
71°F or below 53%
82-83°F 48%
76-77°F 40%
71°F or below
53%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
18%
90°F or higher
70%
90°F or higher 70%
71°F or below 53%
82-83°F 48%
76-77°F 40%
71°F or below
53%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
18%
90°F or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts projecting a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 17. This aligns with the market’s leading 82–83 °F bucket (48 % implied probability) and supports the 80–81 °F range, while the 90 °F+ outcome reflects uncertainty over daytime heat carryover. A prolonged dry spell and absent cold fronts have kept temperatures well above the 69.6 °F climatological average low, though subtle model consensus on light winds and partial clearing overnight limits downside risk to the 71 °F-or-below tier. Updated NWS guidance and early-morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp