The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$14,414 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
6%
December 31
5%
$14,414 KL.
September 30
$6,660 KL.
1%
October 31
$5,143 KL.
2%
November 30
$1,041 KL.
6%
December 31
$1,570 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,414Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$14,414Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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