Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
<5 43%
5-9 25%
10-14 10%
15-19 7.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 28, 2026
<5
43%
5-9
25%
10-14
10%
15-19
7%
20-24
15%
25-29
3%
30-34
14%
35-39
14%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
9%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 43%
5-9 25%
10-14 10%
15-19 7.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 28, 2026
<5
$2,724 KL.
43%
5-9
$536 KL.
25%
10-14
$236 KL.
10%
15-19
$200 KL.
7%
20-24
$89 KL.
15%
25-29
$114 KL.
3%
30-34
$84 KL.
14%
35-39
$79 KL.
14%
40-44
$204 KL.
1%
45-49
$162 KL.
<1%
50-54
$232 KL.
9%
55-59
$187 KL.
<1%
60+
$226 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,073Ngày kết thúc
Jul 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$5,073Ngày kết thúc
Jul 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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