Republican primary voters consistently showed limited enthusiasm for James Fishback in pre-election polling, with most surveys placing him in the 8–12% range behind frontrunner Byron Donalds, who benefited from an early Trump endorsement and far higher name recognition and fundraising. Fishback’s campaign drew attention among younger and nontraditional Republicans through social media but faced institutional pushback, including the state party rescinding debate invitations over controversial rhetoric, alongside legal challenges to his ballot eligibility. These dynamics produced trader consensus around a 10–15% finish. A surge in youth turnout or unexpected consolidation of anti-establishment support could have lifted his share, though late polls and primary results aligned closely with the market’s leading outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJames Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback 10–15% 98.6%
Fishback 25–30% 1.0%
Fishback <10% <1%
Fishback 30%+ <1%
$355,004 KL.
$355,004 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
Fishback <10%
1%
Fishback 10–15%
99%
Fishback 15–20%
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
1%
Fishback 30%+
<1%
Fishback 10–15% 98.6%
Fishback 25–30% 1.0%
Fishback <10% <1%
Fishback 30%+ <1%
$355,004 KL.
$355,004 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
Fishback <10%
$260,126 KL.
1%
Fishback 10–15%
$24,496 KL.
99%
Fishback 15–20%
$13,551 KL.
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
$17,597 KL.
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
$10,636 KL.
1%
Fishback 30%+
$28,599 KL.
<1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Republican primary voters consistently showed limited enthusiasm for James Fishback in pre-election polling, with most surveys placing him in the 8–12% range behind frontrunner Byron Donalds, who benefited from an early Trump endorsement and far higher name recognition and fundraising. Fishback’s campaign drew attention among younger and nontraditional Republicans through social media but faced institutional pushback, including the state party rescinding debate invitations over controversial rhetoric, alongside legal challenges to his ballot eligibility. These dynamics produced trader consensus around a 10–15% finish. A surge in youth turnout or unexpected consolidation of anti-establishment support could have lifted his share, though late polls and primary results aligned closely with the market’s leading outcome.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$355,004Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Republican primary voters consistently showed limited enthusiasm for James Fishback in pre-election polling, with most surveys placing him in the 8–12% range behind frontrunner Byron Donalds, who benefited from an early Trump endorsement and far higher name recognition and fundraising. Fishback’s campaign drew attention among younger and nontraditional Republicans through social media but faced institutional pushback, including the state party rescinding debate invitations over controversial rhetoric, alongside legal challenges to his ballot eligibility. These dynamics produced trader consensus around a 10–15% finish. A surge in youth turnout or unexpected consolidation of anti-establishment support could have lifted his share, though late polls and primary results aligned closely with the market’s leading outcome.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$355,004Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican primary voters consistently showed limited enthusiasm for James Fishback in pre-election polling, with most surveys placing him in the 8–12% range behind frontrunner Byron Donalds, who benefited from an early Trump endorsement and far higher name recognition and fundraising. Fishback’s campaign drew attention among younger and nontraditional Republicans through social media but faced institutional pushback, including the state party rescinding debate invitations over controversial rhetoric, alongside legal challenges to his ballot eligibility. These dynamics produced trader consensus around a 10–15% finish. A surge in youth turnout or unexpected consolidation of anti-establishment support could have lifted his share, though late polls and primary results aligned closely with the market’s leading outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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