Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 Knesset seats, aligning with the market's tightest range around 5.5–6.5% vote share. The alliance submitted its candidate slate on September 8 after internal negotiations and a late adjustment to the list order, reviving the combined Arab bloc that split ahead of the prior contest. This positioning reflects steady Arab-party support amid a fragmented field where neither the pro- nor anti-Netanyahu blocs consistently reach a majority, with Ra'am polling separately near the threshold. Trader consensus remains close because small shifts in Arab turnout, undecided voters, or campaign focus on equality and representation issues could move the Joint List across the 6.5% or 7.5% bands shown in recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7.5%+ 29%
6.5-7.5% 26%
5.5-6.5% 22%
4.5-5.5% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
19%
4.5-5.5%
20%
5.5-6.5%
24%
6.5-7.5%
26%
7.5%+
29%
7.5%+ 29%
6.5-7.5% 26%
5.5-6.5% 22%
4.5-5.5% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$110 KL.
19%
4.5-5.5%
$20 KL.
20%
5.5-6.5%
$110 KL.
24%
6.5-7.5%
$20 KL.
26%
7.5%+
$39 KL.
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 Knesset seats, aligning with the market's tightest range around 5.5–6.5% vote share. The alliance submitted its candidate slate on September 8 after internal negotiations and a late adjustment to the list order, reviving the combined Arab bloc that split ahead of the prior contest. This positioning reflects steady Arab-party support amid a fragmented field where neither the pro- nor anti-Netanyahu blocs consistently reach a majority, with Ra'am polling separately near the threshold. Trader consensus remains close because small shifts in Arab turnout, undecided voters, or campaign focus on equality and representation issues could move the Joint List across the 6.5% or 7.5% bands shown in recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$300Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 Knesset seats, aligning with the market's tightest range around 5.5–6.5% vote share. The alliance submitted its candidate slate on September 8 after internal negotiations and a late adjustment to the list order, reviving the combined Arab bloc that split ahead of the prior contest. This positioning reflects steady Arab-party support amid a fragmented field where neither the pro- nor anti-Netanyahu blocs consistently reach a majority, with Ra'am polling separately near the threshold. Trader consensus remains close because small shifts in Arab turnout, undecided voters, or campaign focus on equality and representation issues could move the Joint List across the 6.5% or 7.5% bands shown in recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$300Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 6–8 Knesset seats, aligning with the market's tightest range around 5.5–6.5% vote share. The alliance submitted its candidate slate on September 8 after internal negotiations and a late adjustment to the list order, reviving the combined Arab bloc that split ahead of the prior contest. This positioning reflects steady Arab-party support amid a fragmented field where neither the pro- nor anti-Netanyahu blocs consistently reach a majority, with Ra'am polling separately near the threshold. Trader consensus remains close because small shifts in Arab turnout, undecided voters, or campaign focus on equality and representation issues could move the Joint List across the 6.5% or 7.5% bands shown in recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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