The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5-6% 34%
4-5% 32%
3.25-4% 28%
<3.25% 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
12%
3.25-4%
28%
4-5%
32%
5-6%
34%
6%+
12%
5-6% 34%
4-5% 32%
3.25-4% 28%
<3.25% 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<3.25%
$246 KL.
12%
3.25-4%
$0 KL.
28%
4-5%
$0 KL.
32%
5-6%
$0 KL.
34%
6%+
$90 KL.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$336Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Khối lượng
$336Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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