Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
$14,839 KL.
$14,839 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,839 KL.
$14,839 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,103 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$6,736 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,839Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,839Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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