Forecast models from multiple sources project persistent cloud cover, overcast skies, and moderate to light rain across Zhengzhou on September 20, driven by northerly flow and a frontal system that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range, with consensus highs near 23–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent observations on September 19 show building moisture and cooling trends that align with these conditions, suppressing typical September afternoon peaks near 29°C. Trader positioning reflects this, with the highest implied probability on 22°C or below and closely bunched outcomes from 23–26°C, as uncertainty centers on exact rainfall timing and intensity rather than broader warming factors. Updated regional forecasts expected overnight could refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
22°C or below 98%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 39%
22°C or below
98%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 98%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 39%
22°C or below
98%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project persistent cloud cover, overcast skies, and moderate to light rain across Zhengzhou on September 20, driven by northerly flow and a frontal system that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range, with consensus highs near 23–26°C amid high humidity and light winds. Recent observations on September 19 show building moisture and cooling trends that align with these conditions, suppressing typical September afternoon peaks near 29°C. Trader positioning reflects this, with the highest implied probability on 22°C or below and closely bunched outcomes from 23–26°C, as uncertainty centers on exact rainfall timing and intensity rather than broader warming factors. Updated regional forecasts expected overnight could refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp