Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Warsaw on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C, as a stable high-pressure influence and seasonal cooling from early-September warmth (when daily maxima exceeded 28°C) suppress further warming. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and a modest dew point around 8–10°C, reducing the likelihood of 19°C or higher while making 17°C a close secondary outcome. Updated guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF through the evening of September 10 reinforces this range ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
18°C 42%
17°C 39%
19°C 11%
16°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
39%
18°C
42%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 39%
19°C 11%
16°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$103 KL.
1%
15°C
$145 KL.
1%
16°C
$685 KL.
6%
17°C
$2,210 KL.
39%
18°C
$1,347 KL.
42%
19°C
$1,991 KL.
11%
20°C
$534 KL.
3%
21°C
$447 KL.
2%
22°C
$241 KL.
<1%
23°C
$225 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$243 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Warsaw on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C, as a stable high-pressure influence and seasonal cooling from early-September warmth (when daily maxima exceeded 28°C) suppress further warming. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and a modest dew point around 8–10°C, reducing the likelihood of 19°C or higher while making 17°C a close secondary outcome. Updated guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF through the evening of September 10 reinforces this range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,766Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Warsaw on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C, as a stable high-pressure influence and seasonal cooling from early-September warmth (when daily maxima exceeded 28°C) suppress further warming. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and a modest dew point around 8–10°C, reducing the likelihood of 19°C or higher while making 17°C a close secondary outcome. Updated guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF through the evening of September 10 reinforces this range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,766Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Warsaw on September 11 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C, as a stable high-pressure influence and seasonal cooling from early-September warmth (when daily maxima exceeded 28°C) suppress further warming. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and a modest dew point around 8–10°C, reducing the likelihood of 19°C or higher while making 17°C a close secondary outcome. Updated guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF through the evening of September 10 reinforces this range ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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