Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by a shift to westerly flow, rising humidity near 60%, and 20–80% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter, clearer conditions today near 33–34°C, with the incoming moisture and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) preventing further buildup. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover around 28–30°C, and current consensus across multiple runs shows limited upside beyond 31°C absent model shifts before resolution. Traders have priced 30–31°C outcomes above 95% combined implied probability, reflecting tight agreement in short-range guidance ahead of overnight observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 4%
32°C 3%
$11,394 KL.
$11,394 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
29°C 4%
32°C 3%
$11,394 KL.
$11,394 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by a shift to westerly flow, rising humidity near 60%, and 20–80% chance of showers that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter, clearer conditions today near 33–34°C, with the incoming moisture and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) preventing further buildup. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover around 28–30°C, and current consensus across multiple runs shows limited upside beyond 31°C absent model shifts before resolution. Traders have priced 30–31°C outcomes above 95% combined implied probability, reflecting tight agreement in short-range guidance ahead of overnight observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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