Persistent warm subtropical air masses and mostly sunny, stable conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near 33–34°C on August 13, driving the leading market-implied probabilities of 56.5% and 34%. Long-range guidance from agencies and models shows highs slightly above the mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C, supported by elevated regional sea-surface temperatures that reduce overnight cooling and enhance daytime heat retention along the Mediterranean coast. Minimal cloud cover and light winds further favor peak readings in this narrow range, while historical analogs indicate rare exceedances of 35°C without stronger synoptic forcing. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 56%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical air masses and mostly sunny, stable conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near 33–34°C on August 13, driving the leading market-implied probabilities of 56.5% and 34%. Long-range guidance from agencies and models shows highs slightly above the mid-August climatological average of 30–32°C, supported by elevated regional sea-surface temperatures that reduce overnight cooling and enhance daytime heat retention along the Mediterranean coast. Minimal cloud cover and light winds further favor peak readings in this narrow range, while historical analogs indicate rare exceedances of 35°C without stronger synoptic forcing. Updated forecast runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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