Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with possible showers, positioning 34°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near the 32°C climatological average, but recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show modest elevation from lingering humidity and weak steering flow, tempered by cloud cover that reduces solar heating and caps extremes. No active typhoon or major atmospheric shift has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal norm rather than pushing toward rarer 36°C+ outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,293 KL.
<1%
29°C
$322 KL.
<1%
30°C
$264 KL.
<1%
31°C
$282 KL.
4%
32°C
$527 KL.
7%
33°C
$1,454 KL.
31%
34°C
$2,336 KL.
43%
35°C
$611 KL.
16%
36°C
$644 KL.
5%
37°C
$894 KL.
2%
38°C or higher
$1,030 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with possible showers, positioning 34°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near the 32°C climatological average, but recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show modest elevation from lingering humidity and weak steering flow, tempered by cloud cover that reduces solar heating and caps extremes. No active typhoon or major atmospheric shift has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal norm rather than pushing toward rarer 36°C+ outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,655Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with possible showers, positioning 34°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near the 32°C climatological average, but recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show modest elevation from lingering humidity and weak steering flow, tempered by cloud cover that reduces solar heating and caps extremes. No active typhoon or major atmospheric shift has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal norm rather than pushing toward rarer 36°C+ outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,655Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with possible showers, positioning 34°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August highs near the 32°C climatological average, but recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show modest elevation from lingering humidity and weak steering flow, tempered by cloud cover that reduces solar heating and caps extremes. No active typhoon or major atmospheric shift has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal norm rather than pushing toward rarer 36°C+ outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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