Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
28%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 19%
28°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
16%
29°C
$9 KL.
9%
30°C
$9 KL.
19%
31°C
$25 KL.
45%
32°C
$0 KL.
28%
33°C
$11 KL.
12%
34°C
$5 KL.
4%
35°C
$0 KL.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS data, positions a daily maximum near 31°C for Karachi on September 8, supporting the leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 14–17 mph, and moderate humidity around 65–75% are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with early September climatology of highs averaging 31–32°C. Shorter-range runs show tight clustering around 30–32°C, with low odds for 33°C or higher reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong high-pressure buildup. Updated model outputs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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