Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the official maximum temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, driven by Hong Kong Observatory measurements showing afternoon peaks near this threshold amid typical early-September subtropical conditions. Light winds, high humidity, and limited cloud cover allowed surface heating to reach expected levels without significant cooling from showers or stronger monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where daily maxima frequently settle in the low 30s before northeast monsoon influences strengthen later in the month. Only an unforeseen revision to station data or reclassification of the peak reading could alter the outcome, though current observations leave little room for such shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$123,641 KL.
$123,641 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$123,641 KL.
$123,641 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the official maximum temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, driven by Hong Kong Observatory measurements showing afternoon peaks near this threshold amid typical early-September subtropical conditions. Light winds, high humidity, and limited cloud cover allowed surface heating to reach expected levels without significant cooling from showers or stronger monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where daily maxima frequently settle in the low 30s before northeast monsoon influences strengthen later in the month. Only an unforeseen revision to station data or reclassification of the peak reading could alter the outcome, though current observations leave little room for such shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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