Latest meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 9 hovering near 36–37 °C, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in market pricing. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with light winds and high humidity typical of the region’s late-summer pattern, supports strong daytime heating, while any increase in cloud cover or a modest shift in steering flow could cap the high at 35 °C or push it to 38 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify readings relative to rural stations used for verification. Forecasters will issue updated guidance over the next 48 hours, with final resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at designated observation sites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
36°C 28%
37°C 25%
39°C 19%
38°C 18%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
9%
35°C
13%
36°C
28%
37°C
25%
38°C
18%
39°C
19%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
3%
36°C 28%
37°C 25%
39°C 19%
38°C 18%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
9%
35°C
13%
36°C
28%
37°C
25%
38°C
18%
39°C
19%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 9 hovering near 36–37 °C, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in market pricing. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with light winds and high humidity typical of the region’s late-summer pattern, supports strong daytime heating, while any increase in cloud cover or a modest shift in steering flow could cap the high at 35 °C or push it to 38 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city amplify readings relative to rural stations used for verification. Forecasters will issue updated guidance over the next 48 hours, with final resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at designated observation sites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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