Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke often leading at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 17–20%, the Grüne at 16–17%, and the SPD at 12–15%. This clustering around the middle rankings creates substantial uncertainty over fourth place. The Grüne have held steady near that spot in most surveys, while the SPD trails and smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW remain below the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing several mid-tier outcomes near 50% amid narrow margins and the final campaign phase. Key variables include the impact of the CDU’s mid-campaign candidate change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains without coalition prospects, and any late shifts in turnout or voter movement among the top five contenders that could reorder the standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGrüne 45%
Linke 19%
AfD 14%
CDU 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
45%
Linke
19%
AfD
14%
CDU
11%
SPD
7%
FDP
5%
BSW
4%
FW
3%
Grüne 45%
Linke 19%
AfD 14%
CDU 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$2,724 KL.
45%
Linke
$183 KL.
19%
AfD
$36 KL.
14%
CDU
$56 KL.
11%
SPD
$36 KL.
7%
FDP
$99 KL.
5%
BSW
$51 KL.
4%
FW
$84 KL.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke often leading at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 17–20%, the Grüne at 16–17%, and the SPD at 12–15%. This clustering around the middle rankings creates substantial uncertainty over fourth place. The Grüne have held steady near that spot in most surveys, while the SPD trails and smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW remain below the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing several mid-tier outcomes near 50% amid narrow margins and the final campaign phase. Key variables include the impact of the CDU’s mid-campaign candidate change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains without coalition prospects, and any late shifts in turnout or voter movement among the top five contenders that could reorder the standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,267Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke often leading at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 17–20%, the Grüne at 16–17%, and the SPD at 12–15%. This clustering around the middle rankings creates substantial uncertainty over fourth place. The Grüne have held steady near that spot in most surveys, while the SPD trails and smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW remain below the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing several mid-tier outcomes near 50% amid narrow margins and the final campaign phase. Key variables include the impact of the CDU’s mid-campaign candidate change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains without coalition prospects, and any late shifts in turnout or voter movement among the top five contenders that could reorder the standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$3,267Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke often leading at 19–22%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD at 17–20%, the Grüne at 16–17%, and the SPD at 12–15%. This clustering around the middle rankings creates substantial uncertainty over fourth place. The Grüne have held steady near that spot in most surveys, while the SPD trails and smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW remain below the 5% threshold. Trader consensus reflects this volatility, pricing several mid-tier outcomes near 50% amid narrow margins and the final campaign phase. Key variables include the impact of the CDU’s mid-campaign candidate change to Stefan Evers, AfD gains without coalition prospects, and any late shifts in turnout or voter movement among the top five contenders that could reorder the standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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