Early positioning for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial contest keeps probabilities clustered among leading contenders. Morena holds a statewide voter-intention edge near 40 percent in recent surveys, yet its open internal selection process features closely matched aspirants including Milena Quiroga Romero, Christian Agúndez Gómez, and Manuel Cota Cárdenas, with no candidate consolidating broad support. The PAN’s Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias leads that party’s preferences and positions it as the main opposition option. High undecided shares and ongoing party negotiations limit separation among frontrunners. Scheduled internal votes and coalition talks over the coming months represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift relative positioning reflected in current trader pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrancisco Pelayo Covarrubias 31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.7%
Christian Agúndez Gómez 20%
Milena Quiroga Romero 14%
$14,985 KL.
$14,985 KL.
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
23%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
20%
Milena Quiroga Romero
14%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
8%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
5%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
4%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
4%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
2%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
1%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias 31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas 22.7%
Christian Agúndez Gómez 20%
Milena Quiroga Romero 14%
$14,985 KL.
$14,985 KL.
Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias
31%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas
23%
Christian Agúndez Gómez
20%
Milena Quiroga Romero
14%
José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar
8%
Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado
6%
Edith Aguilar Villavicencio
5%
Antonio Manríquez
5%
Diana Von Borstel Luna
4%
Roxana Higuera
4%
José Saúl González Núñez
4%
Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón
2%
Susana Zataraín García
1%
Ricardo Barroso Agramont
1%
Fabricio del Castillo
<1%
Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Early positioning for the June 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial contest keeps probabilities clustered among leading contenders. Morena holds a statewide voter-intention edge near 40 percent in recent surveys, yet its open internal selection process features closely matched aspirants including Milena Quiroga Romero, Christian Agúndez Gómez, and Manuel Cota Cárdenas, with no candidate consolidating broad support. The PAN’s Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias leads that party’s preferences and positions it as the main opposition option. High undecided shares and ongoing party negotiations limit separation among frontrunners. Scheduled internal votes and coalition talks over the coming months represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift relative positioning reflected in current trader pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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