Canada's Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney secured a slim majority in the House of Commons by April 2026 through floor crossings and by-elections following their minority win in the April 2025 election. This stability reduces near-term pressure for dissolution, as the government can now pass legislation without relying on other parties. The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may still advise the governor general to call an earlier vote. Trader probabilities remain low for a snap election in 2026, reflecting the absence of a confidence crisis or supply bill defeat. Upcoming by-elections on August 31, 2026, and any shifts in polling or parliamentary dynamics could influence timing assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$93,799 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$93,799 KL.
December 31, 2026
$2,142 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney secured a slim majority in the House of Commons by April 2026 through floor crossings and by-elections following their minority win in the April 2025 election. This stability reduces near-term pressure for dissolution, as the government can now pass legislation without relying on other parties. The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may still advise the governor general to call an earlier vote. Trader probabilities remain low for a snap election in 2026, reflecting the absence of a confidence crisis or supply bill defeat. Upcoming by-elections on August 31, 2026, and any shifts in polling or parliamentary dynamics could influence timing assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$93,799Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney secured a slim majority in the House of Commons by April 2026 through floor crossings and by-elections following their minority win in the April 2025 election. This stability reduces near-term pressure for dissolution, as the government can now pass legislation without relying on other parties. The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may still advise the governor general to call an earlier vote. Trader probabilities remain low for a snap election in 2026, reflecting the absence of a confidence crisis or supply bill defeat. Upcoming by-elections on August 31, 2026, and any shifts in polling or parliamentary dynamics could influence timing assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$93,799Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney secured a slim majority in the House of Commons by April 2026 through floor crossings and by-elections following their minority win in the April 2025 election. This stability reduces near-term pressure for dissolution, as the government can now pass legislation without relying on other parties. The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister may still advise the governor general to call an earlier vote. Trader probabilities remain low for a snap election in 2026, reflecting the absence of a confidence crisis or supply bill defeat. Upcoming by-elections on August 31, 2026, and any shifts in polling or parliamentary dynamics could influence timing assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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