Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+33 and consistent double-digit margins favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, serving since 1997, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November 2026 general election following routine primary processes. The district's rural north-central Alabama electorate, including strong historical support for Republican presidential nominees, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Factors that could realistically shift probabilities remain limited to unforeseen events such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment exceeding historical precedents.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-04 House Election Winner
AL-04 House Election Winner
$37,400 KL.
$37,400 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
<1%
$37,400 KL.
$37,400 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,236 KL.
98%
Democratic Party
$18,164 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+33 and consistent double-digit margins favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, serving since 1997, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November 2026 general election following routine primary processes. The district's rural north-central Alabama electorate, including strong historical support for Republican presidential nominees, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Factors that could realistically shift probabilities remain limited to unforeseen events such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment exceeding historical precedents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+33 and consistent double-digit margins favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, serving since 1997, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November 2026 general election following routine primary processes. The district's rural north-central Alabama electorate, including strong historical support for Republican presidential nominees, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Factors that could realistically shift probabilities remain limited to unforeseen events such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment exceeding historical precedents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$37,400Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Republican leans in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+33 and consistent double-digit margins favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, serving since 1997, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November 2026 general election following routine primary processes. The district's rural north-central Alabama electorate, including strong historical support for Republican presidential nominees, underpins trader consensus around a Republican hold. Factors that could realistically shift probabilities remain limited to unforeseen events such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment exceeding historical precedents.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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