Anthropic's recent releases of Claude 5 Opus and Claude Fable 5 have driven its 61% market-implied odds by securing top LiveBench scores near 80–83 across reasoning and overall categories as of early August 2026. These models outperform competitors through advanced thinking modes and high-effort configurations that deliver measurable gains on the benchmark's fresh, objective questions. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and GPT-5.5 variants sit close behind at 74–81, supporting the cluster of 50% outcomes for several labs, while Google's Gemini models trail despite strong showings elsewhere. Traders assign lower probabilities to Chinese firms like DeepSeek or Alibaba and to OpenAI itself due to current leaderboard gaps, with resolution hinging on any late-August updates before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Z.ai 93%
Amazon 87%
SpaceXAI 85%
DeepSeek 66%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Z.ai
93%
Amazon
87%
SpaceXAI
85%
DeepSeek
66%
Meta
64%
Alibaba
64%
Xiaomi
64%
Baidu
63%
Nvidia
63%
Mistral
63%
Tencent
63%
StepFun
63%
Microsoft
63%
Meituan
59%
ByteDance
39%
OpenAI
36%
Moonshot
34%
Thinky
33%
MiniMax
25%
8%
Anthropic
61%
Z.ai 93%
Amazon 87%
SpaceXAI 85%
DeepSeek 66%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Z.ai
$100 Обс.
93%
Amazon
$100 Обс.
87%
SpaceXAI
$100 Обс.
85%
DeepSeek
$100 Обс.
66%
Meta
$100 Обс.
64%
Alibaba
$100 Обс.
64%
Xiaomi
$100 Обс.
64%
Baidu
$100 Обс.
63%
Nvidia
$100 Обс.
63%
Mistral
$100 Обс.
63%
Tencent
$100 Обс.
63%
StepFun
$100 Обс.
63%
Microsoft
$100 Обс.
63%
Meituan
$50 Обс.
59%
ByteDance
$100 Обс.
39%
OpenAI
$100 Обс.
36%
Moonshot
$100 Обс.
34%
Thinky
$100 Обс.
33%
MiniMax
$80 Обс.
25%
$100 Обс.
8%
Anthropic
$140 Обс.
61%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's recent releases of Claude 5 Opus and Claude Fable 5 have driven its 61% market-implied odds by securing top LiveBench scores near 80–83 across reasoning and overall categories as of early August 2026. These models outperform competitors through advanced thinking modes and high-effort configurations that deliver measurable gains on the benchmark's fresh, objective questions. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and GPT-5.5 variants sit close behind at 74–81, supporting the cluster of 50% outcomes for several labs, while Google's Gemini models trail despite strong showings elsewhere. Traders assign lower probabilities to Chinese firms like DeepSeek or Alibaba and to OpenAI itself due to current leaderboard gaps, with resolution hinging on any late-August updates before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,070Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's recent releases of Claude 5 Opus and Claude Fable 5 have driven its 61% market-implied odds by securing top LiveBench scores near 80–83 across reasoning and overall categories as of early August 2026. These models outperform competitors through advanced thinking modes and high-effort configurations that deliver measurable gains on the benchmark's fresh, objective questions. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and GPT-5.5 variants sit close behind at 74–81, supporting the cluster of 50% outcomes for several labs, while Google's Gemini models trail despite strong showings elsewhere. Traders assign lower probabilities to Chinese firms like DeepSeek or Alibaba and to OpenAI itself due to current leaderboard gaps, with resolution hinging on any late-August updates before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$2,070Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent releases of Claude 5 Opus and Claude Fable 5 have driven its 61% market-implied odds by securing top LiveBench scores near 80–83 across reasoning and overall categories as of early August 2026. These models outperform competitors through advanced thinking modes and high-effort configurations that deliver measurable gains on the benchmark's fresh, objective questions. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and GPT-5.5 variants sit close behind at 74–81, supporting the cluster of 50% outcomes for several labs, while Google's Gemini models trail despite strong showings elsewhere. Traders assign lower probabilities to Chinese firms like DeepSeek or Alibaba and to OpenAI itself due to current leaderboard gaps, with resolution hinging on any late-August updates before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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