Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
Microsoft <1%
$44,289 Обс.
$44,289 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
6%
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
Microsoft <1%
$44,289 Обс.
$44,289 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$12,186 Обс.
93%
OpenAI
$13,707 Обс.
6%
$1,300 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$1,321 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$3,155 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$659 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$807 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,070 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$689 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$848 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$574 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$903 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$803 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$864 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$926 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$768 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$748 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$682 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$657 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$934 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$686 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$44,289Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$44,289Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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