Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic seat due to its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, consistent Democratic performance in presidential and House elections since the 1970s, and demographics centered in urban Houston with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. Incumbent Democrat Christian Menefee consolidated party support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, following a series of transitions after the deaths of prior representatives Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner. Traders price in this structural advantage, reflected in the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen local disruption, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent close to the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
$12,751 Обс.
$12,751 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$12,751 Обс.
$12,751 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,372 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$379 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic seat due to its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, consistent Democratic performance in presidential and House elections since the 1970s, and demographics centered in urban Houston with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. Incumbent Democrat Christian Menefee consolidated party support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, following a series of transitions after the deaths of prior representatives Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner. Traders price in this structural advantage, reflected in the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen local disruption, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent close to the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,751Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic seat due to its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, consistent Democratic performance in presidential and House elections since the 1970s, and demographics centered in urban Houston with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. Incumbent Democrat Christian Menefee consolidated party support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, following a series of transitions after the deaths of prior representatives Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner. Traders price in this structural advantage, reflected in the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen local disruption, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent close to the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,751Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliable Democratic seat due to its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, consistent Democratic performance in presidential and House elections since the 1970s, and demographics centered in urban Houston with substantial Black and Hispanic populations. Incumbent Democrat Christian Menefee consolidated party support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, following a series of transitions after the deaths of prior representatives Sheila Jackson Lee and Sylvester Turner. Traders price in this structural advantage, reflected in the 96.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen local disruption, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent close to the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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