Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple high-quality surveys showing figures between 34 and 39 percent amid a stalemated conflict in Iran and elevated gas prices that have weighed on economic sentiment. These conditions have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, though the range of recent results remains narrow enough to keep the four central market bins tightly bunched. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, reducing the scope for major shifts unless fresh developments on the Iran situation, energy costs, or other salient issues emerge in the interim. Trader positioning reflects this narrow band of observed outcomes while recognizing the potential for modest movement from late-breaking data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено37.0–37.4 38%
38.0–38.4 38%
38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
16%
37.0–37.4
38%
37.5–37.9
37%
38.0–38.4
38%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0+
38%
37.0–37.4 38%
38.0–38.4 38%
38.5–38.9 38%
39.0+ 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$0 Обс.
16%
37.0–37.4
$0 Обс.
38%
37.5–37.9
$0 Обс.
37%
38.0–38.4
$0 Обс.
38%
38.5–38.9
$0 Обс.
38%
39.0+
$2 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple high-quality surveys showing figures between 34 and 39 percent amid a stalemated conflict in Iran and elevated gas prices that have weighed on economic sentiment. These conditions have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, though the range of recent results remains narrow enough to keep the four central market bins tightly bunched. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, reducing the scope for major shifts unless fresh developments on the Iran situation, energy costs, or other salient issues emerge in the interim. Trader positioning reflects this narrow band of observed outcomes while recognizing the potential for modest movement from late-breaking data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple high-quality surveys showing figures between 34 and 39 percent amid a stalemated conflict in Iran and elevated gas prices that have weighed on economic sentiment. These conditions have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, though the range of recent results remains narrow enough to keep the four central market bins tightly bunched. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, reducing the scope for major shifts unless fresh developments on the Iran situation, energy costs, or other salient issues emerge in the interim. Trader positioning reflects this narrow band of observed outcomes while recognizing the potential for modest movement from late-breaking data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple high-quality surveys showing figures between 34 and 39 percent amid a stalemated conflict in Iran and elevated gas prices that have weighed on economic sentiment. These conditions have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, though the range of recent results remains narrow enough to keep the four central market bins tightly bunched. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, reducing the scope for major shifts unless fresh developments on the Iran situation, energy costs, or other salient issues emerge in the interim. Trader positioning reflects this narrow band of observed outcomes while recognizing the potential for modest movement from late-breaking data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання