The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRogerio Carvalho 24%
André Moura 15%
Delegado Alessandro 14.1%
Eduardo Amorim 11%
$14,523 Обс.
$14,523 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
24%
André Moura
15%
Delegado Alessandro
14%
Eduardo Amorim
11%
Delegado André David
10%
Rodrigo Valadares
6%
Renatinha
1%
Coronel Rocha
1%
Edvaldo
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
André Moura 15%
Delegado Alessandro 14.1%
Eduardo Amorim 11%
$14,523 Обс.
$14,523 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$4,053 Обс.
24%
André Moura
$1,740 Обс.
15%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,225 Обс.
14%
Eduardo Amorim
$1,158 Обс.
11%
Delegado André David
$1,490 Обс.
10%
Rodrigo Valadares
$986 Обс.
6%
Renatinha
$1,053 Обс.
1%
Coronel Rocha
$536 Обс.
1%
Edvaldo
$407 Обс.
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$685 Обс.
1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,190 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,523Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$14,523Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote, with traders assigning Rogerio Carvalho the highest probability for second place amid fragmented support across multiple contenders. Recent August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data, show a tight distribution with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered in the low-to-mid teens, while incumbent Rogério Carvalho trails in some surveys despite his PT base. Eleven registered candidates, cross-party alliances, and the two-vote system sustain uncertainty, as small shifts in turnout or late endorsements could reorder the ranking. Scheduled conventions and ongoing polling trends through September will likely influence separation before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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