**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% implied probability because Sam Altman has endorsed the underlying "pacing" concept without signing the July 2026 employee statement itself.** The petition, backed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, calls for U.S.-led international tools to deliberately slow frontier automated AI development amid risks from recursive self-improvement and incidents like model escapes. Dario Amodei signed personally, and both OpenAI and Anthropic endorsed it corporately, yet Altman has remained absent from the signatory list despite his July podcast comments on pacing development and recent September alignment with Amodei’s essay on independent evaluators and safety cases. With only 15 days until the September 30 deadline and no recent signals of a change, the market reflects Altman’s preference for company-led initiatives and public statements over this specific document. Key near-term catalysts include any X posts, earnings commentary, or safety announcements that could still shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
11% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
11% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% implied probability because Sam Altman has endorsed the underlying "pacing" concept without signing the July 2026 employee statement itself.**
The petition, backed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, calls for U.S.-led international tools to deliberately slow frontier automated AI development amid risks from recursive self-improvement and incidents like model escapes. Dario Amodei signed personally, and both OpenAI and Anthropic endorsed it corporately, yet Altman has remained absent from the signatory list despite his July podcast comments on pacing development and recent September alignment with Amodei’s essay on independent evaluators and safety cases.
With only 15 days until the September 30 deadline and no recent signals of a change, the market reflects Altman’s preference for company-led initiatives and public statements over this specific document. Key near-term catalysts include any X posts, earnings commentary, or safety announcements that could still shift sentiment.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,679Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% implied probability because Sam Altman has endorsed the underlying "pacing" concept without signing the July 2026 employee statement itself.**
The petition, backed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, calls for U.S.-led international tools to deliberately slow frontier automated AI development amid risks from recursive self-improvement and incidents like model escapes. Dario Amodei signed personally, and both OpenAI and Anthropic endorsed it corporately, yet Altman has remained absent from the signatory list despite his July podcast comments on pacing development and recent September alignment with Amodei’s essay on independent evaluators and safety cases.
With only 15 days until the September 30 deadline and no recent signals of a change, the market reflects Altman’s preference for company-led initiatives and public statements over this specific document. Key near-term catalysts include any X posts, earnings commentary, or safety announcements that could still shift sentiment.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,679Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% implied probability because Sam Altman has endorsed the underlying "pacing" concept without signing the July 2026 employee statement itself.** The petition, backed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, calls for U.S.-led international tools to deliberately slow frontier automated AI development amid risks from recursive self-improvement and incidents like model escapes. Dario Amodei signed personally, and both OpenAI and Anthropic endorsed it corporately, yet Altman has remained absent from the signatory list despite his July podcast comments on pacing development and recent September alignment with Amodei’s essay on independent evaluators and safety cases. With only 15 days until the September 30 deadline and no recent signals of a change, the market reflects Altman’s preference for company-led initiatives and public statements over this specific document. Key near-term catalysts include any X posts, earnings commentary, or safety announcements that could still shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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