OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its most capable model yet, with state-of-the-art computer-use, agent coordination, and cybersecurity performance reaching the company’s “Critical” threshold under its Preparedness Framework, has fueled trader focus on potential access restrictions. The model’s ability to identify zero-days and exploit systems autonomously prompted immediate limits on advanced cyber tools for most users, favoring only approved testers via Daybreak Blue, while a staggered rollout initially locked out many ChatGPT subscribers and drew public apologies from Sam Altman. Competitive pressures from other frontier labs, ongoing safety evaluations, and the model’s harder-to-monitor reasoning add uncertainty, with any further regulatory reviews or safeguard tightenings serving as near-term catalysts that could shift odds on removal timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAstra removed from public access by...?
Astra removed from public access by...?
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
4%
October 31
12%
$329 Обс.
September 30
$299 Обс.
4%
October 31
$30 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its most capable model yet, with state-of-the-art computer-use, agent coordination, and cybersecurity performance reaching the company’s “Critical” threshold under its Preparedness Framework, has fueled trader focus on potential access restrictions. The model’s ability to identify zero-days and exploit systems autonomously prompted immediate limits on advanced cyber tools for most users, favoring only approved testers via Daybreak Blue, while a staggered rollout initially locked out many ChatGPT subscribers and drew public apologies from Sam Altman. Competitive pressures from other frontier labs, ongoing safety evaluations, and the model’s harder-to-monitor reasoning add uncertainty, with any further regulatory reviews or safeguard tightenings serving as near-term catalysts that could shift odds on removal timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its most capable model yet, with state-of-the-art computer-use, agent coordination, and cybersecurity performance reaching the company’s “Critical” threshold under its Preparedness Framework, has fueled trader focus on potential access restrictions. The model’s ability to identify zero-days and exploit systems autonomously prompted immediate limits on advanced cyber tools for most users, favoring only approved testers via Daybreak Blue, while a staggered rollout initially locked out many ChatGPT subscribers and drew public apologies from Sam Altman. Competitive pressures from other frontier labs, ongoing safety evaluations, and the model’s harder-to-monitor reasoning add uncertainty, with any further regulatory reviews or safeguard tightenings serving as near-term catalysts that could shift odds on removal timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its most capable model yet, with state-of-the-art computer-use, agent coordination, and cybersecurity performance reaching the company’s “Critical” threshold under its Preparedness Framework, has fueled trader focus on potential access restrictions. The model’s ability to identify zero-days and exploit systems autonomously prompted immediate limits on advanced cyber tools for most users, favoring only approved testers via Daybreak Blue, while a staggered rollout initially locked out many ChatGPT subscribers and drew public apologies from Sam Altman. Competitive pressures from other frontier labs, ongoing safety evaluations, and the model’s harder-to-monitor reasoning add uncertainty, with any further regulatory reviews or safeguard tightenings serving as near-term catalysts that could shift odds on removal timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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