The 50% implied probability for any NFL quarterback eclipsing Peyton Manning’s 55-passing-touchdown mark reflects a balance between elite passing talent and the record’s enduring difficulty. Recent 17-game seasons have produced league-leading totals of just 43–46 touchdowns, with Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025 the high-water mark since the schedule expanded. Strong supporting casts for projected leaders like Joe Burrow, Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye create pathways for outlier volume, yet defensive schemes, injuries, and the need for sustained efficiency across 17 contests keep 56-plus realistic only under near-perfect conditions. Any surge in red-zone opportunities or rule emphasis on passing could shift sentiment toward yes, while typical regression or injuries would reinforce the historical barrier.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено50% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 12, 2027
50% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability for any NFL quarterback eclipsing Peyton Manning’s 55-passing-touchdown mark reflects a balance between elite passing talent and the record’s enduring difficulty. Recent 17-game seasons have produced league-leading totals of just 43–46 touchdowns, with Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025 the high-water mark since the schedule expanded. Strong supporting casts for projected leaders like Joe Burrow, Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye create pathways for outlier volume, yet defensive schemes, injuries, and the need for sustained efficiency across 17 contests keep 56-plus realistic only under near-perfect conditions. Any surge in red-zone opportunities or rule emphasis on passing could shift sentiment toward yes, while typical regression or injuries would reinforce the historical barrier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability for any NFL quarterback eclipsing Peyton Manning’s 55-passing-touchdown mark reflects a balance between elite passing talent and the record’s enduring difficulty. Recent 17-game seasons have produced league-leading totals of just 43–46 touchdowns, with Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025 the high-water mark since the schedule expanded. Strong supporting casts for projected leaders like Joe Burrow, Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye create pathways for outlier volume, yet defensive schemes, injuries, and the need for sustained efficiency across 17 contests keep 56-plus realistic only under near-perfect conditions. Any surge in red-zone opportunities or rule emphasis on passing could shift sentiment toward yes, while typical regression or injuries would reinforce the historical barrier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability for any NFL quarterback eclipsing Peyton Manning’s 55-passing-touchdown mark reflects a balance between elite passing talent and the record’s enduring difficulty. Recent 17-game seasons have produced league-leading totals of just 43–46 touchdowns, with Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025 the high-water mark since the schedule expanded. Strong supporting casts for projected leaders like Joe Burrow, Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Drake Maye create pathways for outlier volume, yet defensive schemes, injuries, and the need for sustained efficiency across 17 contests keep 56-plus realistic only under near-perfect conditions. Any surge in red-zone opportunities or rule emphasis on passing could shift sentiment toward yes, while typical regression or injuries would reinforce the historical barrier.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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