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icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Технологія·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Технологія·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Oct 1

Oct 1

No release by September 30 70%

September 30 5.1%

September 23 3.6%

September 17 1.8%

Polymarket

$61,962 Обс.

No release by September 30 70%

September 30 5.1%

September 23 3.6%

September 17 1.8%

Polymarket

$61,962 Обс.

September 5

$302 Обс.

1%

September 6

$307 Обс.

<1%

September 7

$356 Обс.

1%

September 8

$294 Обс.

<1%

September 9

$302 Обс.

<1%

September 10

$302 Обс.

<1%

September 11

$298 Обс.

1%

September 12

$302 Обс.

1%

September 13

$302 Обс.

<1%

September 14

$307 Обс.

<1%

September 15

$542 Обс.

2%

September 16

$538 Обс.

2%

September 17

$542 Обс.

2%

September 18

$305 Обс.

<1%

September 19

$302 Обс.

1%

September 20

$302 Обс.

1%

September 21

$302 Обс.

1%

September 22

$579 Обс.

12%

September 23

$449 Обс.

4%

September 24

$589 Обс.

10%

September 25

$298 Обс.

1%

September 26

$300 Обс.

1%

September 27

$302 Обс.

1%

September 28

$480 Обс.

<1%

September 29

$370 Обс.

1%

September 30

$682 Обс.

5%

No release by September 30

$49,116 Обс.

70%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still absent from public API and app releases as of early September 2026 despite an original June target set at I/O. Recent Flash iterations—most notably Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—have shipped on a near-monthly cadence, but the flagship Pro variant remains in limited partner testing after failing internal performance benchmarks, particularly in coding and agentic tasks. With pretraining now underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, traders see little near-term catalyst for a Pro launch before month-end, driving the 69.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key upcoming checkpoints include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on frontier timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$61,962
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to anchor trader sentiment, with the model still absent from public API and app releases as of early September 2026 despite an original June target set at I/O. Recent Flash iterations—most notably Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—have shipped on a near-monthly cadence, but the flagship Pro variant remains in limited partner testing after failing internal performance benchmarks, particularly in coding and agentic tasks. With pretraining now underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, traders see little near-term catalyst for a Pro launch before month-end, driving the 69.5% implied probability of no release by September 30. Key upcoming checkpoints include any partner feedback updates or earnings commentary on frontier timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$61,962
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

77%
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Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?

65%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 31 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «No release by September 30» з 70%, далі «September 22» з 12%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?» згенерував $62K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 17, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?», перегляньте 31 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?» — «No release by September 30» з 70%. Наступний — «September 22» з 12%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.