**Current forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and other models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C overnight into September 19, driven by moderate westerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Light showers or drizzle possible early on could further suppress the drop, while sea-breeze effects and pressure around 1014–1016 hPa support stable conditions typical for Tel Aviv in mid-September. Recent model runs show limited spread, with lows rarely dipping below 22°C or exceeding 25°C under the prevailing pattern. The near-even market split between ≤19°C and ≥29°C outcomes likely reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cloud and wind forecasts rather than strong signals for extremes, as historical September minima in the city cluster around 22–25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
19°C or below 85%
29°C or higher 84%
24°C 47%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
85%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
8%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
84%
19°C or below 85%
29°C or higher 84%
24°C 47%
21°C 38%
19°C or below
85%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
8%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and other models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C overnight into September 19, driven by moderate westerly winds, high humidity near 80–90% at dawn, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Light showers or drizzle possible early on could further suppress the drop, while sea-breeze effects and pressure around 1014–1016 hPa support stable conditions typical for Tel Aviv in mid-September. Recent model runs show limited spread, with lows rarely dipping below 22°C or exceeding 25°C under the prevailing pattern. The near-even market split between ≤19°C and ≥29°C outcomes likely reflects residual uncertainty in overnight cloud and wind forecasts rather than strong signals for extremes, as historical September minima in the city cluster around 22–25°C. Updated model guidance and morning observations will be key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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