**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple weather models and official forecasts, including those from sources like Meteum and regional meteorological services, project a daily maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and northeast winds around 2–3 m/s. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near this level before cooling overnight to around 21°C. This aligns closely with September climatology for the region, where highs typically average 25°C but can moderate under persistent cloud cover and higher humidity near 80%. The low probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from current atmospheric conditions and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or measurement revision exceeding forecast error margins, though updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term variable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
24°C 95%
25°C 5%
26°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
$25,901 Обс.
$25,901 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
95%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
25°C 5%
26°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
$25,901 Обс.
$25,901 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$539 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$221 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,637 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,146 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,949 Обс.
95%
25°C
$2,750 Обс.
5%
26°C
$2,234 Обс.
2%
27°C
$5,873 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,500 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$696 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$357 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple weather models and official forecasts, including those from sources like Meteum and regional meteorological services, project a daily maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and northeast winds around 2–3 m/s. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near this level before cooling overnight to around 21°C. This aligns closely with September climatology for the region, where highs typically average 25°C but can moderate under persistent cloud cover and higher humidity near 80%. The low probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from current atmospheric conditions and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or measurement revision exceeding forecast error margins, though updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,901Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple weather models and official forecasts, including those from sources like Meteum and regional meteorological services, project a daily maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and northeast winds around 2–3 m/s. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near this level before cooling overnight to around 21°C. This aligns closely with September climatology for the region, where highs typically average 25°C but can moderate under persistent cloud cover and higher humidity near 80%. The low probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from current atmospheric conditions and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or measurement revision exceeding forecast error margins, though updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25,901Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple weather models and official forecasts, including those from sources like Meteum and regional meteorological services, project a daily maximum of 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and northeast winds around 2–3 m/s. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near this level before cooling overnight to around 21°C. This aligns closely with September climatology for the region, where highs typically average 25°C but can moderate under persistent cloud cover and higher humidity near 80%. The low probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher reflect limited upside potential from current atmospheric conditions and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend or measurement revision exceeding forecast error margins, though updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term variable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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