Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Shenzhen on September 7, which will suppress overnight radiative cooling and anchor the minimum temperature near 26–27°C. In this humid subtropical setting, high dew points near 25°C combined with light winds limit surface heat loss, while daytime heating to around 32°C and convective activity further sustain warmth into the night. Trader odds remain closely split because small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity—driven by residual monsoon flow or model divergences—could push the low a degree lower or higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
22°C or below
60%
23°C
15%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
59%
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
22°C or below
60%
23°C
15%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Shenzhen on September 7, which will suppress overnight radiative cooling and anchor the minimum temperature near 26–27°C. In this humid subtropical setting, high dew points near 25°C combined with light winds limit surface heat loss, while daytime heating to around 32°C and convective activity further sustain warmth into the night. Trader odds remain closely split because small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity—driven by residual monsoon flow or model divergences—could push the low a degree lower or higher. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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