**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a minimum temperature of 58°F in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, under persistent marine layer influence with overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity.** This aligns with the market's strongest consensus on the 58-59°F bin at 52% implied probability, as recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant warming or cooling signals through the overnight period. Historical September lows average near 56°F, but current conditions and short-range guidance favor readings slightly above that baseline, keeping secondary bins like 56-57°F (20%) and 60-61°F (23.5%) as plausible but lower-probability outcomes. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the tight cluster of official forecasts heavily, though minor model spread or microclimate differences at measurement sites could still shift the final recorded low within the 56-61°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
58-59°F 59%
56-57°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
54-55°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
52%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
2%
58-59°F 59%
56-57°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
54-55°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Обс.
7%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
18%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
40%
58-59°F
$80 Обс.
52%
60-61°F
$55 Обс.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
2%
70°F or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a minimum temperature of 58°F in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, under persistent marine layer influence with overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity.** This aligns with the market's strongest consensus on the 58-59°F bin at 52% implied probability, as recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant warming or cooling signals through the overnight period. Historical September lows average near 56°F, but current conditions and short-range guidance favor readings slightly above that baseline, keeping secondary bins like 56-57°F (20%) and 60-61°F (23.5%) as plausible but lower-probability outcomes. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the tight cluster of official forecasts heavily, though minor model spread or microclimate differences at measurement sites could still shift the final recorded low within the 56-61°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$135Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a minimum temperature of 58°F in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, under persistent marine layer influence with overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity.** This aligns with the market's strongest consensus on the 58-59°F bin at 52% implied probability, as recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant warming or cooling signals through the overnight period. Historical September lows average near 56°F, but current conditions and short-range guidance favor readings slightly above that baseline, keeping secondary bins like 56-57°F (20%) and 60-61°F (23.5%) as plausible but lower-probability outcomes. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the tight cluster of official forecasts heavily, though minor model spread or microclimate differences at measurement sites could still shift the final recorded low within the 56-61°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$135Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a minimum temperature of 58°F in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, under persistent marine layer influence with overcast skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity.** This aligns with the market's strongest consensus on the 58-59°F bin at 52% implied probability, as recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant warming or cooling signals through the overnight period. Historical September lows average near 56°F, but current conditions and short-range guidance favor readings slightly above that baseline, keeping secondary bins like 56-57°F (20%) and 60-61°F (23.5%) as plausible but lower-probability outcomes. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the tight cluster of official forecasts heavily, though minor model spread or microclimate differences at measurement sites could still shift the final recorded low within the 56-61°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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