Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a low near 19–21°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds shifting from southerly flow. This range reflects typical early-autumn coastal moderation in the city’s temperate monsoon climate, where sea surface temperatures near 25°C limit nocturnal cooling while clear conditions overnight allow radiational losses. Trader odds remain closely split between cooler outcomes below 15°C and warmer readings above 25°C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model initialization can alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated guidance expected from regional offices within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 96%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
96%
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 96%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a low near 19–21°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds shifting from southerly flow. This range reflects typical early-autumn coastal moderation in the city’s temperate monsoon climate, where sea surface temperatures near 25°C limit nocturnal cooling while clear conditions overnight allow radiational losses. Trader odds remain closely split between cooler outcomes below 15°C and warmer readings above 25°C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model initialization can alter the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated guidance expected from regional offices within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання