**Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and persistent cloud cover with light rain have positioned the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11 around 15–18°C according to multiple forecasts.** Model consensus from sources such as Luft Time and local meteorological summaries shows a minimum near 15.5–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light precipitation possible and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This follows a sharp temperature drop of 5–11°C across September 8–10 driven by the same frontal system, which brought heavy rain and suppressed highs. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 14°C or below alongside notable shares near 18°C and higher thresholds, captures remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid variable moisture and model spread. Historical September lows in Chengdu typically range 15–20°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final official readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?
14°C or below 68%
24°C or higher 65%
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
68%
15°C
15%
16°C
24%
17°C
25%
18°C
30%
19°C
28%
20°C
14%
21°C
14%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
65%
14°C or below 68%
24°C or higher 65%
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
68%
15°C
$0 Обс.
15%
16°C
$0 Обс.
24%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$0 Обс.
30%
19°C
$0 Обс.
28%
20°C
$0 Обс.
14%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
12%
23°C
$0 Обс.
9%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and persistent cloud cover with light rain have positioned the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11 around 15–18°C according to multiple forecasts.**
Model consensus from sources such as Luft Time and local meteorological summaries shows a minimum near 15.5–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light precipitation possible and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This follows a sharp temperature drop of 5–11°C across September 8–10 driven by the same frontal system, which brought heavy rain and suppressed highs.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 14°C or below alongside notable shares near 18°C and higher thresholds, captures remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid variable moisture and model spread. Historical September lows in Chengdu typically range 15–20°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and persistent cloud cover with light rain have positioned the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11 around 15–18°C according to multiple forecasts.**
Model consensus from sources such as Luft Time and local meteorological summaries shows a minimum near 15.5–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light precipitation possible and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This follows a sharp temperature drop of 5–11°C across September 8–10 driven by the same frontal system, which brought heavy rain and suppressed highs.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 14°C or below alongside notable shares near 18°C and higher thresholds, captures remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid variable moisture and model spread. Historical September lows in Chengdu typically range 15–20°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and persistent cloud cover with light rain have positioned the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 11 around 15–18°C according to multiple forecasts.** Model consensus from sources such as Luft Time and local meteorological summaries shows a minimum near 15.5–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light precipitation possible and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This follows a sharp temperature drop of 5–11°C across September 8–10 driven by the same frontal system, which brought heavy rain and suppressed highs. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 14°C or below alongside notable shares near 18°C and higher thresholds, captures remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid variable moisture and model spread. Historical September lows in Chengdu typically range 15–20°C, providing context for the current positioning ahead of final official readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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