Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations recorded a daily minimum temperature of 72-73°F on September 18, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that narrow band. Late-summer climatology in central Texas typically features overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under high-pressure dominance and light winds, with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System aligned closely with these readings in the hours leading up to resolution. Only an undetected instrument malfunction or a highly localized microclimate deviation outside official reporting sites could realistically shift the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on September 18?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,043 Обс.
$1,043 Обс.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,043 Обс.
$1,043 Обс.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations recorded a daily minimum temperature of 72-73°F on September 18, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that narrow band. Late-summer climatology in central Texas typically features overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under high-pressure dominance and light winds, with minimal frontal activity or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System aligned closely with these readings in the hours leading up to resolution. Only an undetected instrument malfunction or a highly localized microclimate deviation outside official reporting sites could realistically shift the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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